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Forecasts of crash fatalities during summer holiday periods in 2004 Liu, Cejun ; Chen, Chou-Lin
Publication details: Washington DC National Center for Statistics and Analysis, NCSA, 2004; Traffic Safety Facts. Research note June 2004, Description: 2 sSubject(s): Online resources: Abstract: This research note provides forecasts of fatality counts for three summer holiday periods (Memorial Day, 4th of July and Labor Day) in 2004. Two time series analysis techniques, Holt-Winters (HW) Algorithm and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA), were used to do the analyses and forecasts based on 1982-2002 historical data and 2003 Early Assessment File data.No physical items for this record
This research note provides forecasts of fatality counts for three summer holiday periods (Memorial Day, 4th of July and Labor Day) in 2004. Two time series analysis techniques, Holt-Winters (HW) Algorithm and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA), were used to do the analyses and forecasts based on 1982-2002 historical data and 2003 Early Assessment File data.