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Forecasts of crash fatalities during summer holiday periods in 2004 Liu, Cejun ; Chen, Chou-Lin

By: Contributor(s): Publication details: Washington DC National Center for Statistics and Analysis, NCSA, 2004; Traffic Safety Facts. Research note June 2004, Description: 2 sSubject(s): Online resources: Abstract: This research note provides forecasts of fatality counts for three summer holiday periods (Memorial Day, 4th of July and Labor Day) in 2004. Two time series analysis techniques, Holt-Winters (HW) Algorithm and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA), were used to do the analyses and forecasts based on 1982-2002 historical data and 2003 Early Assessment File data.
Item type: Reports, conferences, monographs
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This research note provides forecasts of fatality counts for three summer holiday periods (Memorial Day, 4th of July and Labor Day) in 2004. Two time series analysis techniques, Holt-Winters (HW) Algorithm and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA), were used to do the analyses and forecasts based on 1982-2002 historical data and 2003 Early Assessment File data.

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