Day-to-day evolution of network flows under route-choice dynamics in commuter decisions Srinivasan, Karthik K. ; Guo, Zhiyong
Series: ; 1894Publication details: Transportation research record, 2004Description: s. 198-208Subject(s): Bibl.nr: VTI P8167:1894; VTI P8169:2004Location: Abstract: The day-to-day dynamics of commuter decisions on urban traffic networks induced by route-choice dynamics is investigated. More specifically, this investigation analyzes the stability and reliability of system performance due to route-choice dynamics under real-time information, relaxing key restrictions associated with user equilibrium models. A simulation-based framework is developed to analyze day-to-day dynamics by integrating an empirically calibrated model of route-choice decisions with a dynamic network assignment model. Computational experiments are used to investigate the effect of certain experimental factors--recurrent network congestion level, market penetration, nature of information, and frequency of information updates--on network performance stability and reliability. The findings provide evidence of considerable day-to-day variations and stochasticity in network flows and performance, even when departure-time decisions and the origin-destination matrix are assumed to be fixed. The results indicate that (a) network performance may deviate significantly from equilibrium because of route-choice decisions under information; (b) within-day route choices have a significant effect on day-to-day network flow evolution; (c) user equilibrium path flows may not be reached or may not be stable when uncoordinated route-choice decisions are made under real-time information; (d) route-choice decisions do not exhibit convergence to an equilibrium, although the switching rate may be near steady-state conditions; (e) advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) information strategies can affect both within-day and day-to-day dynamics; and (f) some information strategies can lead to improved reliability and stability but at the expense of longer trip times. The results indicate that the trade-off between trip time performance and stability must be considered in network analysis and design. These results have important implications for the design of traffic control strategies, more-effective ATIS implementation guidelines, and incident management strategies.| Cover image | Item type | Current library | Home library | Collection | Shelving location | Call number | Materials specified | Vol info | URL | Copy number | Status | Notes | Date due | Barcode | Item holds | Item hold queue priority | Course reserves | |
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| Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut | Available | |||||||||||||||||
| Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut | Available |
The day-to-day dynamics of commuter decisions on urban traffic networks induced by route-choice dynamics is investigated. More specifically, this investigation analyzes the stability and reliability of system performance due to route-choice dynamics under real-time information, relaxing key restrictions associated with user equilibrium models. A simulation-based framework is developed to analyze day-to-day dynamics by integrating an empirically calibrated model of route-choice decisions with a dynamic network assignment model. Computational experiments are used to investigate the effect of certain experimental factors--recurrent network congestion level, market penetration, nature of information, and frequency of information updates--on network performance stability and reliability. The findings provide evidence of considerable day-to-day variations and stochasticity in network flows and performance, even when departure-time decisions and the origin-destination matrix are assumed to be fixed. The results indicate that (a) network performance may deviate significantly from equilibrium because of route-choice decisions under information; (b) within-day route choices have a significant effect on day-to-day network flow evolution; (c) user equilibrium path flows may not be reached or may not be stable when uncoordinated route-choice decisions are made under real-time information; (d) route-choice decisions do not exhibit convergence to an equilibrium, although the switching rate may be near steady-state conditions; (e) advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) information strategies can affect both within-day and day-to-day dynamics; and (f) some information strategies can lead to improved reliability and stability but at the expense of longer trip times. The results indicate that the trade-off between trip time performance and stability must be considered in network analysis and design. These results have important implications for the design of traffic control strategies, more-effective ATIS implementation guidelines, and incident management strategies.