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Fuzzy Rule-Based System Approach to Combining Traffic Count Forecasts Stathopoulos, Antony ; Karlaftis, Matthew G ; Dimitriou, Loukas

By: Contributor(s): Series: Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board ; 2183Publication details: Washington DC Transportation Research Board, 2010Description: s. 120-128ISBN:
  • 9780309160544
Subject(s): Bibl.nr: VTI P8167:2183Location: TRBAbstract: Current advances in artificial intelligence are providing new opportunities for utilizing the enormous amount of data available in contemporary urban road surveillance systems. Several approaches, methodologies, and techniques have been presented for analyzing and forecasting traffic counts because such information has been identified as vital for the deployment of advanced transportation management and information systems. In this paper, a meta-analysis framework is presented for improving forecasted information of traffic counts, based on an adaptive data processing scheme. In particular, a framework for combining traffic count forecasts within a Mamdani-type fuzzy adaptive optimal control scheme is presented and analyzed. The proposed methodology treats the uncertainty pertaining to such circumstances by augmenting qualitative information of future traffic flow states (and values) with a knowledge base and a heuristic optimization routine that provides dynamic training capabilities, resulting in an efficient real-time forecasting mechanism. Results from the application of the proposed framework on data acquired from realistic signalized urban network data (of Athens, Greece) and for a diversity of locations exhibit its potential.
Item type: Reports, conferences, monographs
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Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut Available

Current advances in artificial intelligence are providing new opportunities for utilizing the enormous amount of data available in contemporary urban road surveillance systems. Several approaches, methodologies, and techniques have been presented for analyzing and forecasting traffic counts because such information has been identified as vital for the deployment of advanced transportation management and information systems. In this paper, a meta-analysis framework is presented for improving forecasted information of traffic counts, based on an adaptive data processing scheme. In particular, a framework for combining traffic count forecasts within a Mamdani-type fuzzy adaptive optimal control scheme is presented and analyzed. The proposed methodology treats the uncertainty pertaining to such circumstances by augmenting qualitative information of future traffic flow states (and values) with a knowledge base and a heuristic optimization routine that provides dynamic training capabilities, resulting in an efficient real-time forecasting mechanism. Results from the application of the proposed framework on data acquired from realistic signalized urban network data (of Athens, Greece) and for a diversity of locations exhibit its potential.